Friday, May 28, 2010
A breakdown of the 'ard Boyz winners from 38 Tournaments
So, I was looking at Dakka's "How did you do" thread, and I was compiling the results for 38 different tournaments just to get a sense of what I'd be facing in the upcoming semi-finals.
Here's what I found. To get these numbers, I took a look at the winners of the 38 tournaments and assigned 3 quality points to the 1st place winner, 2 quality points to the second place winner, and 1 quality point to the third place winner. I then added the total quality points earned and then divided that total by the total number of times the race placed. For example, the Blood Angels placed 8 times in 38 tournaments, once in 1st (3 points), four times in 2nd (8 points), and thrice in 3rd place (3 points). Divide that by 8 times they appeared nets you an 1.75 quality points.
Here they are broken down in a more raw form:
Nids were surprising, as they placed 19 times out of the 38 x 3 positions available, making them the most populous of all the winners. We'll likely see more of them. Orks were not a surprise, as people were using them to meta the dreaded third scenario. I didn't expect my beloved Blood Angels to fall so low, not did I expect the IG to be so high, considering the internet babble about the death of the Dreaded Leafblower build. The numbers show that people still have trouble with that build.
Also, what the hell are daemons doing there?
I forgot to add the population totals from the orginal post, and I think it's vital to the discussion:
Army Total Population out 114 places
Nids -19 - 16.6%
IG - 13 - 11.4%
Daemons - 5 - 4.4%
Eldar - 6 - 5.3%
Orks - 17 - 14.9%
Wolves - 9 - 7.9%
Dark Eldar - 5 - 4.4%
Tau - 4 - 3.5%
Blood Angels - 8 - 7%
CSM - 10 - 8.8%
Black Templar - 3 - 2.6%
Marines - 9 - 7.9%
Vulkan - 4 - 3.5%
Dark Angels - 1 - .8%
Necrons - 1 - .8%
The numbers just above show raw success regardless of place. These numbers assume that the semi's are your only goal, and that success in reaching them is your only concern. I think that's a poor goal to set. It's far better to choose an army that will allow for greater success. In other words, it's better to be vying for first and just get second than to have to battle it out for third.
Doe you beleive that this trend toward Nid, Ork and IG success was caused by Scenario Three? Or do these scores show people's "first choice" armies?
What are your thoughts?